{"id":11679,"date":"2026-11-07T09:16:53","date_gmt":"2026-11-07T09:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/2026\/11\/07\/court-ruling-on-adc-leadership-could-widen-tinubus-2027-win-margin-pig-businessday-ng\/"},"modified":"2026-11-07T09:16:53","modified_gmt":"2026-11-07T09:16:53","slug":"court-ruling-on-adc-leadership-could-widen-tinubus-2027-win-margin-pig-businessday-ng","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/2026\/11\/07\/court-ruling-on-adc-leadership-could-widen-tinubus-2027-win-margin-pig-businessday-ng\/","title":{"rendered":"Court ruling on ADC leadership could widen Tinubu\u2019s 2027 win margin \u2013 PIG – Businessday NG"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Political Intelligence Group (PIG) has projected that the ongoing leadership crisis in the African Democratic Congress (ADC), following a Federal High Court ruling nullifying the leadership of the party led by David Mark, former Senate President, could alter the political calculations ahead of the 2027 presidential election.\n<\/p>\n

The group said the development could potentially widen President Bola Tinubu\u2019s margin of victory if the judgment is upheld on appeal and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar is eventually excluded from the presidential ballot.\n<\/p>\n

The ruling, delivered by Justice Peter Lifu of the Federal High Court in Abuja, invalidated the Mark-led interim National Working Committee (NWC) of the ADC and decisions taken under its leadership, including the party\u2019s May 25 presidential primary that produced Atiku as its presidential candidate.\n<\/p>\n

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In a statement issued in Lagos on Friday and signed by Lai Omotosho, its chairman, PIG said the development had necessitated a review of its November projection, particularly regarding Atiku\u2019s position and the possible implications for the opposition\u2019s electoral strength.<\/p>\n

The group had earlier projected a closely contested presidential election among the three leading contenders, with Tinubu maintaining a narrow lead, Peter Obi, former Labour Party presidential candidate and now, the presidential candidate of National Democratic Congress (NDC) in second position, and Atiku occupying third place.\n<\/p>\n

However, PIG said the court ruling could introduce a significant shift in the emerging political contest, particularly in Northern Nigeria, where Atiku\u2019s political standing and support base could become a major factor in determining the opposition\u2019s electoral fortunes.\n<\/p>\n

According to the group, the possible exclusion of Atiku could influence the choices of Northern voters, with some potentially considering Tinubu\u2019s bid for another four-year term against the prospect of an eight-year presidency under Obi.\n<\/p>\n

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PIG argued that such a scenario could affect the distribution of opposition votes and reshape the political dynamics in several states, although the eventual impact would depend on the outcome of the legal proceedings and subsequent political alignments.<\/p>\n

The group, however, cautioned that its latest assessment remained subject to the judicial process, noting that the ADC could challenge the ruling on appeal.
It said its December edition would provide a more comprehensive assessment of the implications of the judgment for the 2027 presidential race, depending on the outcome of the appeal.\n<\/p>\n

PIG added that the final judicial determination of the ADC leadership crisis would be critical to the party\u2019s ability to organise its presidential campaign, resolve internal disputes and contribute to the broader opposition coalition ahead of the 2027 elections.<\/p>\n

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Source: <\/p>\n

Businessday NG<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Political Intelligence Group (PIG) has projected that the ongoing leadership crisis in the African Democratic Congress (ADC), following a Federal High Court ruling nullifying the leadership of the party… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11680,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11679","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11680"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalnigerianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}